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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.45vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+5.28vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.97+6.44vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+3.36vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.42vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.07+3.27vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+1.30vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.17-2.80vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.31vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.19-6.32vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.04-4.30vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.93-2.79vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.10-6.61vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.24-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Yale University2.5515.7%1st Place
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7.28Brown University1.696.8%1st Place
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9.44Old Dominion University0.974.2%1st Place
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7.36College of Charleston1.816.6%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.5%1st Place
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9.27George Washington University1.073.7%1st Place
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8.44Northeastern University1.225.4%1st Place
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9.3University of Rhode Island0.993.6%1st Place
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6.2Harvard University2.1710.3%1st Place
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9.69University of Pennsylvania1.163.4%1st Place
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4.68Stanford University2.1914.7%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Naval Academy2.045.8%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University0.932.5%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College2.107.4%1st Place
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12.16University of Vermont0.241.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 15.7% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 14.7% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.5% |
| Sarah Young | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.