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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+4.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.61vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.50+8.97vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04+2.74vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.61+3.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+3.52vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05-0.38vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-2.55vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.60-0.58vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.74-2.43vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.68vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-3.93vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-3.48vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.71-2.56vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.00-1.36vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-8.32vs Predicted
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17University of Washington1.11-3.74vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University0.51-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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4.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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11.97Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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8.05Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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6.62Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.45Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.42College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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11.44Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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13.64Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.68Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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13.26University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
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14.74Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 16.4% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 13.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 20.2% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 19.5% | 41.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.