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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+5.51vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+4.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+5.22vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+0.39vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.04-0.33vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74-0.41vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.50+3.21vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.61-1.89vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.71+0.46vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-2.69vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.78vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University0.51+0.78vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.11-1.86vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.00-2.43vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-7.69vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.60-9.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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4.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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5.39Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.79Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.59Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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12.21Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.11Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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11.46Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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8.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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14.78Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
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13.57Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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8.31College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 15.1% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 18.3% | 43.2% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.