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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+5.39vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+4.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+6.32vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.61+4.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.37vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.60+2.41vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.11+6.18vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.50+3.82vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.74vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.71+1.36vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.74-3.07vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-5.92vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-7.42vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-6.24vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University0.51-0.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-6.79vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-7.68vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.00-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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8.23Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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8.41College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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13.18University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
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11.82Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.36Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.93Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.58Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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14.66Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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13.62Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 16.3% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.