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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.62vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.71+9.35vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+2.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+5.41vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+2.62vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.73+1.96vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.13vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.04-1.39vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-2.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.59vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-3.47vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-5.77vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.81vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-1.85vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.00-1.33vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University0.51-1.39vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.61-8.74vs Predicted
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18University of Washington1.11-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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11.35Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.54Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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8.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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6.84Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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12.15Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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13.67Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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14.61Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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8.26Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 16.7% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 21.5% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.