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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.89vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+4.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+6.34vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04+2.76vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.50+6.98vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38-0.28vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.73+0.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.03vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.34vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-2.10vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.21-4.97vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.11+1.26vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.74-5.26vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-5.62vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.71-3.42vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University0.51-1.35vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.00-3.39vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-13.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.5Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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11.98Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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5.72Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.83College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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7.9Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.03Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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13.26University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
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7.74Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.38Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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11.58Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.65Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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13.61Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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4.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 11.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 42.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.