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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.61vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+4.01vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+2.57vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+2.73vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.73+2.66vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.04+0.84vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.71+4.42vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.61+0.09vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.65vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.88vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.00+2.59vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-2.63vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50-0.87vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-4.63vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University0.51-0.24vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.11-2.81vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.74-9.21vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.75-10.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.57Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.73Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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11.42Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.09Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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13.59Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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12.13Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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14.76Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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13.19University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
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7.79Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 16.8% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.1% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 22.5% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 20.5% | 41.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.