← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy1.87+8.07vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.18vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.67+3.60vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.76+2.29vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.20-0.13vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.65+0.78vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University1.36+4.06vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.52vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+0.35vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.76-3.76vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.32-3.10vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.45-4.68vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-4.48vs Predicted
-
14University of Washington-0.16+1.00vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College1.15-3.11vs Predicted
-
16Northwestern University0.23-1.88vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University1.74-7.17vs Predicted
-
18Texas A&M University0.36-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.07U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
-
4.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
-
6.6College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
-
6.29Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
4.87Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
-
6.78Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
11.06Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
-
8.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
-
9.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
6.24Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.9Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
-
7.32Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
8.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
-
15.0University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
-
11.89Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
-
14.12Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
-
9.83Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
13.98Texas A&M University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Robertson | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 18.8% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 15.2% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 11.7% | 21.6% | 43.6% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 21.8% | 25.9% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 16.5% | 22.9% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.