← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+6.65vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.55+2.48vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.47vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.10+3.40vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.19-0.33vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.22+2.60vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University1.07+2.41vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.17-1.85vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island0.99+0.09vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont0.24+2.14vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston1.81-3.77vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.21vs Predicted
-
13Brown University1.69-5.72vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University0.97-4.53vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University0.93-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.65U. S. Naval Academy2.046.1%1st Place
-
4.48Yale University2.5515.6%1st Place
-
6.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.5%1st Place
-
7.4Dartmouth College2.106.5%1st Place
-
4.67Stanford University2.1916.0%1st Place
-
8.6Northeastern University1.224.2%1st Place
-
9.41George Washington University1.073.5%1st Place
-
6.15Harvard University2.1710.2%1st Place
-
9.09University of Rhode Island0.994.1%1st Place
-
12.14University of Vermont0.241.5%1st Place
-
7.23College of Charleston1.817.1%1st Place
-
9.79University of Pennsylvania1.163.2%1st Place
-
7.28Brown University1.697.4%1st Place
-
9.47Old Dominion University0.972.8%1st Place
-
10.18Tufts University0.933.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.6% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Young | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 16.0% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 38.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.