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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+6.65vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+3.61vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+2.34vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.67+1.41vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+1.47vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76-0.78vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.32-0.40vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+0.35vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.74-0.26vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-5.95vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.36-1.03vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.87-3.54vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-5.35vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.15-3.15vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.23-1.89vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.36-3.03vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.16-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.34Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.41College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.22Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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9.74Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.05Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.97Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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11.85Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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14.11Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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13.97Texas A&M University0.360.0%1st Place
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15.09University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 19.7% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 14.3% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 24.1% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 21.3% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 21.5% | 42.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.