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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+7.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+2.88vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+3.66vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.87+5.36vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.86vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.67-0.45vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.76-1.77vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.15+2.86vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.14vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32-3.32vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.45-4.62vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.74-3.26vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.36-2.85vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.23-0.72vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.16-1.08vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.36-2.99vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.76-11.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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4.88Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.66Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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4.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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6.55College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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6.23Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.86Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.74Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.15Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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14.28Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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14.92University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.01Texas A&M University0.360.0%1st Place
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6.41Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Moloney | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 19.7% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 16.1% | 24.9% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 20.3% | 42.9% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 23.8% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.