← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.06vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+6.67vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.76+3.25vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.20+0.99vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.74+4.60vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+3.41vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston2.67-0.46vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.45-0.80vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.65-2.25vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University0.23+4.25vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.76-4.58vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.32-4.30vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University1.36-1.87vs Predicted
-
14University of Washington-0.16+1.05vs Predicted
-
15Texas A&M University0.36-1.19vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy1.87-6.65vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-8.33vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College1.15-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
-
8.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
-
6.25Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
4.99Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.6Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
6.54College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
-
7.2Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.75Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
14.25Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
-
6.42Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.7Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
-
11.13Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
-
15.05University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
-
13.81Texas A&M University0.360.0%1st Place
-
9.35U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
-
8.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
-
11.82Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 19.8% | 17.5% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 14.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 23.5% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 19.6% | 44.0% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.