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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+5.11vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.67+4.54vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.15+8.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.26vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+1.50vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20-0.90vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.54+0.06vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.32-0.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.07vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-0.90vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.74-1.10vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.76-5.68vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.36-1.85vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.87-4.49vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.23-0.85vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.16-0.92vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.36-3.02vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-9.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.54College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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11.7Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
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6.5Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.1Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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9.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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9.9Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.32Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.15Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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14.15Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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15.08University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.98Texas A&M University0.360.0%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 18.0% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 22.6% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 23.5% | 41.0% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 16.7% | 23.6% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.