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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+7.95vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.67+4.49vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+5.65vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.54+3.11vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20-0.17vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+0.50vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67-0.44vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.74+1.61vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32-1.05vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-3.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-6.64vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.87-2.70vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-4.35vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.36-2.81vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-0.16+0.03vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.15-4.34vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.36-3.02vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.23-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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6.49College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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4.83Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.5Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.56Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.61Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.58Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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11.19Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.66Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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13.98Texas A&M University0.360.0%1st Place
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14.24Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Moloney | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 14.9% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 17.9% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 11.7% | 20.0% | 44.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 22.7% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 24.7% | 24.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.