← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.09vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.74+7.67vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.54+4.04vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+4.72vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.67+1.43vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.15+5.97vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.20-2.09vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.32-0.38vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy1.87+0.51vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-0.95vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.76-4.58vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-3.28vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.65-6.37vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston2.67-7.35vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University1.36-3.85vs Predicted
-
16University of Washington-0.16-1.10vs Predicted
-
17Texas A&M University0.36-3.02vs Predicted
-
18Northwestern University0.23-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
-
9.67Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
7.04Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
8.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
-
6.43Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
11.97Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
-
4.91Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.62Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
-
9.51U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
-
9.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
6.42Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
-
6.63Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
6.65College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
-
11.15Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
-
14.9University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
-
13.98Texas A&M University0.360.0%1st Place
-
14.25Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 20.1% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 13.2% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 19.5% | 42.5% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 21.9% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 24.9% | 25.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.