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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+5.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+5.59vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.12+4.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+3.59vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20-1.19vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.36+4.22vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.74+1.68vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.67-2.63vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.87-0.58vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-4.81vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.75vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.67-6.43vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-6.92vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-0.16+0.01vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.15-4.34vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.36-3.04vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.23-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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4.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Wisconsin2.120.1%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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4.81Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.22Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.68Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.37College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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6.19Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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6.57Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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15.01University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.66Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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13.96Texas A&M University0.360.0%1st Place
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14.2Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 18.1% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 14.7% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 9.7% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 21.2% | 43.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 19.4% | 21.7% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 23.8% | 25.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.