← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.65+5.54vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.76+4.24vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.24vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+5.34vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.74+4.76vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin2.12+2.75vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.54+0.06vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.57vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy1.87+0.61vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.67-3.41vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-2.43vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston2.67-5.24vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University1.36-1.83vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.20-8.96vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College1.77-5.05vs Predicted
-
16University of Washington-0.16-1.01vs Predicted
-
17Texas A&M University0.36-2.93vs Predicted
-
18Northwestern University0.23-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.54Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
6.24Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
4.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
-
9.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
9.76Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
8.75University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
-
7.06Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
8.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
-
9.61U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
-
6.59Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
8.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
-
6.76College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
-
11.17Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
-
5.04Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.95Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
-
14.99University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
-
14.07Texas A&M University0.360.0%1st Place
-
14.34Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 18.1% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 14.4% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 20.4% | 43.9% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 18.2% | 22.4% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 25.8% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.