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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+7.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.23vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+3.44vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.54+3.22vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20-0.15vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+0.93vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.59vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.74+0.73vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.67-3.19vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32-3.22vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.87-2.41vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-3.68vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.36-2.69vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.77-4.99vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.23-1.76vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.36-2.89vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.16-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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4.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
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6.44Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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4.85Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.68Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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9.73Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.81College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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9.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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11.31Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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10.01Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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14.24Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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14.11Texas A&M University0.360.0%1st Place
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15.16University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Godfrey | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 17.7% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 15.2% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 16.8% | 24.2% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 18.3% | 24.2% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 21.6% | 44.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.