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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+6.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.63vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+4.44vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+3.34vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.97+4.60vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.17+0.19vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+1.29vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07+1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99+0.37vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.19-5.31vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.53vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93-1.85vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.16-3.16vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.55-9.62vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.24-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34College of Charleston1.816.6%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Naval Academy2.046.0%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.106.2%1st Place
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7.34Brown University1.696.6%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University0.973.4%1st Place
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6.19Harvard University2.179.2%1st Place
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8.29Northeastern University1.225.3%1st Place
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9.28George Washington University1.073.9%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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4.69Stanford University2.1915.5%1st Place
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6.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.1%1st Place
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10.15Tufts University0.933.7%1st Place
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9.84University of Pennsylvania1.162.6%1st Place
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4.38Yale University2.5518.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Vermont0.241.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Young | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 15.5% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.0% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.