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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+7.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.01vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+6.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+3.75vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+3.05vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21+2.66vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58+4.42vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.10vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.73+1.78vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-0.04vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-1.43vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-5.56vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.74-2.39vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.74vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-5.61vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-6.46vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.45vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.63-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.65Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.42George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.78College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.61Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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9.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.03Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% |
| Simone Staff | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 18.8% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.