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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+7.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.01vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+6.87vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+4.02vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.33vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21+2.72vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.49vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+1.31vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06+0.36vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.73+1.10vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.36vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-5.57vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.74-2.40vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-6.46vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.58-3.64vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-6.49vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.63-5.63vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.31Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.36Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.1College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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11.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.6Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.54Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.36George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.37Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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12.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% |
| Simone Staff | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.