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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+10.39vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+7.60vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+6.75vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+5.52vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+3.65vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+2.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.12vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+3.60vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04-0.26vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.58+0.56vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-3.68vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.63-1.93vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.73-3.53vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.84-8.97vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.42-8.16vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.06-7.43vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.74-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.6Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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12.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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11.56George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.32Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.07Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.47College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.84Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.59Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
| Simone Staff | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 18.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.