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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.04vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+6.89vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+4.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+2.96vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+3.33vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.73+3.76vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+1.32vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.01vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58+1.70vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.40vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-3.87vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.56vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.74-3.55vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.53vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-6.52vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.63-5.63vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-8.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.63Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.96Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.33Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.76College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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9.32Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.7George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.13Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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10.45Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.37Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Simone Staff | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 19.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.