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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.42vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+8.41vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+5.96vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+7.34vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04+4.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.95vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42+0.84vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.22vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06+0.41vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99+0.01vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.27vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.14vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.73-2.30vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.69vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.38-7.06vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.05-6.52vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.35-8.66vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.74-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.41Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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8.96Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.34George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.84Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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10.7College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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12.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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7.94Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.48Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.34Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.63Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 11.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% |
| Simone Staff | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 19.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.