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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+9.98vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+9.52vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.13vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+4.68vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+4.40vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.43vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+5.69vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35+0.11vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-2.86vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-0.26vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-1.18vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.73-0.73vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04-3.70vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-4.23vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.43vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.42-8.06vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.38-8.78vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.58-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.98Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.4Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.74Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.27College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.77Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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7.94Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.22Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.28George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.1% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Simone Staff | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 19.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.