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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.16vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+7.02vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+5.25vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.11vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+4.63vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+3.53vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+1.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.50vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.21vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-3.61vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.37vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.90-1.46vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04-3.65vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-4.89vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.74-4.20vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-3.24vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.58-5.37vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.73-7.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.25Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.63University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.53Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.14Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.54Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.11Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.8Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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11.63George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.64College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% |
| Simone Staff | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 21.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.