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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.07vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+7.63vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+3.28vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+3.97vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.43vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.97vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21+1.71vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-0.28vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.60+2.38vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-0.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.73vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.06-2.25vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.74-2.42vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-4.70vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.90-4.99vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-6.52vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.38-4.68vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-7.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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6.28University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.97Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.97Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.72Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.38College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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9.69Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.58Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.01Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.32George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Mary Dahl | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 9.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Simone Staff | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 21.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| India Johnstone | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 17.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.