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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.47vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+6.51vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+4.36vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.97+5.42vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.19-0.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.69vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.17-0.79vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.81-0.71vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.74vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.69-2.68vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.53vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-2.63vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.93-2.99vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.07-4.68vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.24-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Yale University2.5516.4%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University1.224.7%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College2.107.2%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University0.974.1%1st Place
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4.72Stanford University2.1915.2%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Naval Academy2.045.2%1st Place
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6.21Harvard University2.179.6%1st Place
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7.29College of Charleston1.817.8%1st Place
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9.74University of Pennsylvania1.162.5%1st Place
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7.32Brown University1.696.2%1st Place
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6.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.2%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University0.933.5%1st Place
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9.32George Washington University1.074.5%1st Place
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12.09University of Vermont0.241.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.4% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Young | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 9.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.