← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.05+8.67vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.21+7.01vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.99+6.95vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.38+3.94vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College3.06+4.36vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.58+5.48vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island3.84-0.83vs Predicted
-
8Boston University3.42-0.25vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin3.04+0.51vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.26vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.35-2.71vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.02vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University2.74-2.33vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.62vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-8.16vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University2.90-5.83vs Predicted
-
17College of Charleston2.73-5.95vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.67Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.01Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
-
9.95University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
-
7.94Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
9.36Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
11.48George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
-
6.17University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
7.75Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.51University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.29Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
-
10.67Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
-
12.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
-
6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.17Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
-
11.05College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
-
11.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% |
| Simone Staff | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 19.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.