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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+8.78vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+7.70vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+6.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.89vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+4.34vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+5.28vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38+1.04vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58+3.38vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04+0.48vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.90+0.39vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-4.69vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-3.82vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-4.98vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.65vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.73-4.19vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.47vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.21-8.11vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.74-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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9.7Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.34Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.04Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.38George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.39Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.18Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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10.81College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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9.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.89Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.68Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 12.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Simone Staff | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 19.3% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.