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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+10.42vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+6.95vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.58+8.69vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+2.13vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.89vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+3.53vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+2.39vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04+0.44vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-0.35vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-0.80vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-3.51vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.70vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.64vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.74-4.27vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-6.29vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.60-5.41vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.42-10.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.95Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.69George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.39Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.91Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.2Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.49Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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10.73Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.59College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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7.62Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.2% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Simone Staff | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 17.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.