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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.12vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+6.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+9.95vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.60+7.27vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+2.97vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21+2.72vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-0.85vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-0.22vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05+0.41vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04-0.30vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.74-0.08vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.39vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-3.48vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-4.94vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.58-3.61vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-6.41vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.42vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.90-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.33Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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11.27College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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7.97Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.41Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.92Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.39George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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9.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.92Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Simone Staff | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 20.3% |
| Mary Dahl | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.