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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.12vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+6.93vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+6.66vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.01vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04+4.38vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+3.48vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.48vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.90+2.01vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58+2.47vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-1.63vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-1.16vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-3.59vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-5.34vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.84-8.02vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.74-4.28vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-3.31vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.42vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.60-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.93Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.66Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.48Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.01Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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11.47George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.37Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.41Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.66Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.72Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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9.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.21College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% |
| Simone Staff | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 20.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Mary Dahl | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.