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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+6.67vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+8.78vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.67+6.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.39vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+3.37vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+4.22vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.67+2.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+4.20vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-1.66vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-3.04vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-0.60vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.16vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-2.97vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.84-5.33vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.76-5.78vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.76-6.61vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-4.03vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.32-7.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.94College of Charleston2.670.0%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.22Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.61George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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7.34Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.4Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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9.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.03Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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8.67Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.22Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.39Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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12.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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11.0Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 7.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% |
| Nikki Medley | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Amina Brown | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Martina Sly | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 16.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Marly Isler | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 22.1% |
| Kate Klement | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.