Race 11A

yale-women-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma Cowles 17.7% 15.5% 14.2% 14.1% 10.9% 8.1% 6.3% 5.2% 3.6% 2.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Brooke Schmelz 9.7% 9.0% 9.2% 10.2% 10.0% 8.9% 8.5% 8.6% 7.8% 6.5% 5.9% 3.4% 1.6% 0.8%
Katherine McNamara 7.3% 7.2% 8.7% 7.1% 8.1% 7.8% 8.8% 9.5% 8.6% 8.6% 7.1% 5.7% 4.0% 1.5%
Sarah Young 7.8% 6.3% 7.9% 7.0% 8.6% 9.4% 9.6% 8.6% 7.5% 8.6% 6.1% 5.8% 4.8% 2.1%
Adra Ivancich 4.3% 3.4% 3.8% 3.9% 4.7% 5.1% 6.6% 8.1% 7.4% 8.3% 10.5% 10.8% 11.9% 11.0%
Sophie Fisher 15.7% 15.2% 13.0% 14.0% 10.0% 8.8% 7.8% 6.0% 3.3% 3.6% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Eva Ermlich 5.2% 6.7% 5.0% 5.2% 6.3% 6.5% 7.6% 9.3% 9.5% 9.0% 7.8% 8.2% 8.3% 5.2%
Kytalin Hendrickson 2.6% 4.5% 5.4% 5.4% 5.5% 6.6% 7.2% 6.6% 8.6% 8.8% 11.0% 10.2% 10.5% 7.0%
Gianna Dewey 3.7% 4.2% 4.8% 5.0% 6.2% 6.1% 5.6% 6.7% 8.5% 8.3% 9.8% 10.6% 11.0% 9.6%
Haley Andreasen 3.1% 3.5% 3.5% 4.9% 4.5% 6.1% 5.8% 6.7% 7.4% 7.2% 9.5% 12.5% 13.1% 12.0%
Eva Blauvelt 7.5% 6.3% 8.2% 6.9% 7.6% 7.8% 7.5% 7.8% 8.2% 9.0% 7.3% 7.6% 5.2% 2.7%
Caitlin Derby 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 2.4% 2.5% 2.1% 3.0% 3.5% 4.4% 5.3% 7.6% 9.6% 15.9% 38.4%
Zoey Ziskind 9.9% 11.4% 10.1% 9.4% 10.2% 10.3% 9.5% 6.9% 6.8% 6.2% 4.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.8%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 4.0% 4.7% 4.3% 4.6% 4.7% 6.4% 6.0% 6.6% 8.3% 8.3% 10.1% 11.7% 11.6% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.