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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+5.35vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+6.36vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.79+3.62vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+3.66vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.43-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.70+4.95vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.86+3.05vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.40+3.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.71+1.88vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-2.26vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.00-1.25vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.76-5.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-4.52vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.72-3.22vs Predicted
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15William and Mary1.20-0.05vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.71-5.29vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.67-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.62Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.66Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.38Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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10.95University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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11.55College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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7.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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9.75Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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6.72Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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10.78Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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14.95William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
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10.71Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Anne Haeger | 18.7% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Noble | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 6.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Carly Shevitz | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 10.9% |
| Killian Corbishley | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 5.8% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Stephanie Roble | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Meghan Pesch | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% |
| Derrill Hagood | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 54.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 5.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.