← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.67+8.92vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.20+5.64vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.56+7.46vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.54+6.14vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.76+4.26vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.49vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.20+0.48vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.84+0.87vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island3.37-2.35vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.55+0.44vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.67-1.16vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.13vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.85vs Predicted
-
14Yale University2.76-5.02vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.96-6.66vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-9.50vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-4.04vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University2.32-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.92College of Charleston2.670.0%1st Place
-
7.64Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.46Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
10.14Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
-
9.26Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
9.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
7.48Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.87Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
6.65University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.44Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
-
9.84George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
-
10.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
-
12.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
-
8.98Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.34University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
12.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
11.01Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki Medley | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Martina Sly | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% |
| Ginger Luckey | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 16.5% |
| Marly Isler | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Amina Brown | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 22.1% |
| Kate Klement | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.