← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.67+8.90vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.84+7.20vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+9.62vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.55+6.10vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.96+3.32vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.20+1.42vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.76+2.30vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.30vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.44vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.35vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.54-0.61vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.15vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.20-5.67vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.56-4.17vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.25vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University2.32-4.76vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University2.76-7.55vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University2.67-8.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.9College of Charleston2.670.0%1st Place
-
9.2Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
-
12.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
-
10.1Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
-
8.32University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
7.42Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.3Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.7University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
10.39Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
10.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.33Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.83Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
12.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
11.24Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
-
9.45Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
9.5George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki Medley | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Ginger Luckey | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 17.7% |
| Martina Sly | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% |
| Amina Brown | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Marly Isler | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 19.9% |
| Kate Klement | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.