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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+8.67vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+7.17vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+4.66vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.67+5.58vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+2.44vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+4.17vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+2.28vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.63vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56+1.12vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.76-0.38vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.39vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-4.93vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.67-3.48vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.32-3.13vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.54-4.74vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.96-7.52vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-4.04vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.17Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.66Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.58George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.17Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.28Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.12Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.62Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.52College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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10.87Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.26Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Martina Sly | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Marly Isler | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Kate Klement | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% |
| Amina Brown | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 22.4% |
| Ginger Luckey | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.