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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+5.90vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32+9.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.67+6.82vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.67+5.41vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+3.82vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+4.06vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20+0.36vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67+1.51vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.35vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.20-2.43vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-1.68vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.52vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-3.06vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-3.99vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-8.74vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.45-5.40vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-2.89vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.96-9.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.34Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.82College of Charleston2.670.0%1st Place
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9.41George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.82Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.06Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.36Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.51Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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7.57Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.32Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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9.94Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.6Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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14.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Kate Klement | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% |
| Nikki Medley | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Martina Sly | 5.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 15.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 33.0% |
| Amina Brown | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.