← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+8.58vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.56+8.34vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+9.43vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.84+4.71vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.67+4.47vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.96+2.29vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.62vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.42vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.67+0.56vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.32+1.33vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.76-1.71vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.25vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.45-2.71vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.20-6.93vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University2.55-4.96vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-1.98vs Predicted
-
17Boston College3.20-9.47vs Predicted
-
18Yale University2.67-8.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
10.34Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
12.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
-
8.71Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
9.47College of Charleston2.670.0%1st Place
-
8.29University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
6.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
6.58University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.56George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
-
11.33Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
-
9.29Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
10.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
-
10.29Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
-
7.07Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.04Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
-
14.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
-
7.53Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.36Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 14.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Nikki Medley | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Amina Brown | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Kate Klement | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| Emily Petno | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Martina Sly | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 32.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.