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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.56vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+7.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+9.45vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+3.34vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+5.22vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.67+3.59vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+2.19vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.31vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-0.71vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55+0.33vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.67-1.29vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-1.50vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.32-2.14vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-7.53vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.76-5.82vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-2.00vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.45-6.32vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.20-10.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.16Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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7.34Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.59George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.19Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.33Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.71College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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10.5Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.86Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.18Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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14.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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10.68Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.18Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Ginger Luckey | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 14.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Amina Brown | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Martina Sly | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Kate Klement | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.4% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Marly Isler | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 32.1% |
| Emily Petno | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.