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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+6.60vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+8.39vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+7.61vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+4.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.35vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+3.21vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76+2.20vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.45+2.47vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.38vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+4.16vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-4.25vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.67-2.08vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-3.05vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.67-4.78vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.20-7.70vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.96-7.53vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.32-5.77vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.39Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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8.8Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.21Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.2Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.47Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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14.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.92College of Charleston2.670.0%1st Place
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9.95Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.22George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.3Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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11.23Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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12.0University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Martina Sly | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Marly Isler | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Emily Petno | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 35.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nikki Medley | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Amina Brown | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Kate Klement | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 8.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.