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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+5.59vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+5.62vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.55+6.01vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.30vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+2.94vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+3.14vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.76+1.13vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.67+0.58vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.32+1.37vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-4.18vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-4.28vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+0.79vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.76-5.07vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.80vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.67-6.34vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.54-6.70vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-7.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.59Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.01Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.14Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.13Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.58College of Charleston2.670.0%1st Place
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11.37Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.72Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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13.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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8.93Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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9.66George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.3Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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10.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Martina Sly | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Marly Isler | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Kate Klement | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 31.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.