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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.58vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+7.15vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+6.44vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+8.01vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.67+4.55vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+8.00vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.39vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-0.65vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+1.41vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-3.04vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.55-0.72vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-1.46vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.67-3.53vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.76-5.10vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.32-3.92vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.54-5.79vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.20-9.39vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.96-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.15Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.44Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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9.55College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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14.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.35Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.28Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.54Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.47George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.9Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.08Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.21Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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7.61Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Marly Isler | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 14.7% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 31.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Martina Sly | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Kate Klement | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Amina Brown | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.