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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+8.68vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+6.69vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+11.25vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.78vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76+4.29vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.52vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.76+1.23vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+3.40vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.67-0.09vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.84-1.87vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-3.20vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.20-5.64vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.55-4.10vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-4.88vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.42vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.32-5.65vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.67-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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14.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.29Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.51Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.23Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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12.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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9.91George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.13Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.36Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.9Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.12Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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11.35Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.55College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Amina Brown | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 35.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Marly Isler | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 14.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% |
| Emma White | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Martina Sly | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Kate Klement | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.