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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.76+5.52vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+5.76vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+3.57vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+0.56vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+2.47vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.40+6.00vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27+1.54vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.71+2.42vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.00+0.81vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-1.79vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-3.84vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.70-1.33vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.20+2.01vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-3.72vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.71-4.31vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.72-5.32vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.79-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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7.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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6.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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4.56Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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7.47Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.0College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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8.54Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.42Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.81Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.67University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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15.01William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.68Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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6.67Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Roble | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Megan Magill | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 18.7% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 11.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 5.4% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 5.1% |
| Derrill Hagood | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 57.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 5.7% |
| Meghan Pesch | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.