Race 12A

yale-women-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma Cowles 19.1% 14.8% 14.0% 11.6% 11.2% 9.0% 7.4% 5.0% 3.5% 2.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 3.2% 4.5% 5.7% 5.1% 6.2% 5.5% 6.2% 7.2% 8.4% 9.2% 9.4% 9.7% 12.3% 7.2%
Eva Ermlich 4.8% 5.1% 6.3% 6.4% 6.4% 7.6% 8.2% 7.5% 8.8% 9.2% 9.7% 8.2% 7.5% 4.2%
Adra Ivancich 3.2% 4.0% 4.2% 4.5% 5.8% 5.2% 5.5% 7.5% 7.0% 9.0% 8.8% 10.9% 13.4% 10.8%
Zoey Ziskind 10.4% 10.2% 9.5% 10.7% 11.0% 9.8% 8.1% 7.2% 7.8% 5.5% 4.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5%
Haley Andreasen 3.2% 4.5% 3.6% 3.6% 4.2% 4.7% 5.7% 5.7% 8.1% 7.8% 10.5% 11.1% 14.4% 13.0%
Gianna Dewey 4.2% 4.0% 3.8% 5.5% 5.1% 5.5% 6.8% 8.2% 7.8% 9.2% 11.3% 10.0% 9.9% 8.9%
Sophie Fisher 16.0% 15.5% 13.2% 11.6% 10.4% 10.1% 6.9% 6.3% 4.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.3%
Sarah Young 7.0% 7.0% 8.4% 6.9% 8.6% 9.0% 9.0% 8.5% 8.2% 7.4% 8.1% 6.4% 4.2% 1.2%
Eva Blauvelt 6.9% 7.3% 7.8% 7.1% 6.5% 7.8% 8.7% 10.2% 8.7% 7.9% 7.1% 7.0% 5.1% 2.1%
Brooke Schmelz 9.6% 10.0% 9.2% 10.4% 8.2% 8.6% 9.3% 8.3% 8.0% 5.9% 4.8% 4.3% 2.4% 0.9%
Kytalin Hendrickson 4.2% 4.2% 4.5% 5.5% 5.4% 5.8% 5.8% 7.7% 7.1% 9.7% 9.2% 11.6% 11.1% 8.1%
Caitlin Derby 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 4.6% 5.2% 6.6% 9.9% 14.1% 40.7%
Katherine McNamara 6.9% 7.0% 8.2% 8.7% 8.0% 9.1% 9.2% 7.5% 8.1% 8.6% 6.8% 6.5% 3.5% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.