← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.84+8.22vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.76+7.57vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.67+6.92vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.20+3.43vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.96+3.44vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.55+4.22vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.32+4.17vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.35vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.76+0.34vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.56+0.49vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.39vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston2.67-1.93vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-6.61vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College2.99-5.94vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island3.37-8.23vs Predicted
-
16Boston College3.20-8.41vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-2.80vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-8.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.22Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
9.57Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
-
9.92George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
-
7.43Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.44University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
10.22Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
-
11.17Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
-
10.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
-
9.34Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
-
10.49Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
12.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
-
10.07College of Charleston2.670.0%1st Place
-
6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
8.06Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.77University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.59Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
14.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
-
9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Marly Isler | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Amina Brown | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Martina Sly | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Kate Klement | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 16.3% |
| Nikki Medley | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 34.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.