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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+9.43vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+7.24vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+7.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.45vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.76vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.42vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.32+4.20vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+5.94vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-0.58vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.57vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.99-2.48vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.76-2.28vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.67-3.43vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-3.80vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.20-7.55vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.76-6.57vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.67-7.13vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.43Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.24Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.46Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.42Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.2Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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13.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.72Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.57George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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7.45Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.43Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.87College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martina Sly | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kate Klement | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 34.5% |
| Amina Brown | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.0% |
| Emma White | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Marly Isler | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.