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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+6.76vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+6.70vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.67+7.03vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.40vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.80vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+3.05vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99+1.32vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.60+1.96vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76+0.32vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55+0.53vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-1.09vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.32-0.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-6.62vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.20-6.75vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-4.53vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.56-5.75vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-4.48vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.03George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.05Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.96College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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9.32Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.53Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.91Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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11.62Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.25Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.25Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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12.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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12.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Amina Brown | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Emma White | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Martina Sly | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Kate Klement | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 18.8% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.