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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+6.79vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.65vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+6.64vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+4.30vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55+5.16vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+0.89vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+3.23vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67+1.68vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.57vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-1.26vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.98vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-4.14vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.60-3.06vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.98vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.84-6.01vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.43vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.67-7.06vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.32-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.64Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.3Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.16Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.68Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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7.86Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.94College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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12.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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8.99Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.94George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.07Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Emma White | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Martina Sly | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| Amina Brown | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 24.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Ginger Luckey | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 15.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Kate Klement | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.